Showing posts with label HYGS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label HYGS. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Closed HYGS, MOC, SBUX.

HYGS and SBUX showed signs of potential but faded. 

HYGS: could not hold the breakout. Got out.



Entry 15.29
Exit 14.65


SBUX: 
SbUX  looked like it was going to pop this morning as it broke but then faded with the market.  I held my stop and took. 
Entry: 88.77
Exit 87.73





MOC:

Entry 3.08
EXIT: 2.38 for a 2% portfolio hit. 
I thought this was a perfect fish hook set up until it got crammed back down.  I should have been tight on the stop but it was not a large portion.  The problem was less price moved against me but that the volume is gone.  I see no point in waiting for things to turn.  

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

opened, HYGS, SBUX

This was a stick that I've traded before.   I  loved this chart as we have linear action followed by an above average volume breakout.  Today was continuation day I bought and the move continued.

Entry: 15.29
This stock has many positives, and a small float this move could  run to 19+



SBUX:
High volume  gap move, failed pull back, push ahead= Fish hook.  The market was weak so SBUX gave back a lot of the push today . But has bounced back in AH.  If the market does not collapse this has the potential  to make a 10-20% move from this point.



The weekly shows a cup and a handle break out from the 10 week average. previous runs have tracked the 10 very well and moved from 55 to 80 before topping out and curving out a bottom.

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Stopped out of HYGS-- Lessons in narrowly missing a great trade.

Arrgh!  I was absolutely right on this reversal but my stop just got nicked before It took off.



Stopped at 14.89.  -- The absolute low of the day.
The next day +1.91 it would go as high as 17.50 within another 2.

Entry: $16.04
Exit: $14.89  - $1.15 .9R
Summary

There are a few ways I can choose to feel about this trade.  At one time I may have felt regret or chose to put a wider stop in taken more risk etc...  I could take pride in that I was right about the reversal.  But pride is not a consolation prize when money is lost.

Here is what I now assess this trade.  I used the wrong setup.  I was thinking that this would behave like the big % movers that  the fishhook set up works so well on.   So I got my fishhook entry signal and took it (causing me to buy high) I didn't put a ton of size so I could enjoy a wide stop.

What I see now is that a big% move out of a down trend is not appropriate for a Fishhook.  Rather it is a trend termination signal. This means I should have waited for the consolidation (i.e. RWLK) and bought the range expansion. Had I done so this would have worked beautiful.  As it turns out, it's a lesson learned.

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

New Swings- HYGS, HAWK

I bought HYGS today in a fishhook type trade- it also would trigger on the Elder Impulse . Given the strength of the V shaped recovery I thought this is worth a try.  Here's what I see.  A break of the pace of the down trend with a successful  back test. This is somewhat of a fishhook entry as the strong move held.  in at 16.06 Stop 15. 87.


HAWK:
I like this set up as it weathered the downtrend much better than most stocks and now it is flagging.  I've found that buying within the consolidation can be a decent low risk entry.  However, it might need to trade sideways for another couple of days.  It just hit the 13, so it may get a kick but I think its more likely to get its burst when it hits the 20.




Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Closed: HYGS

This was disappointing.  I sold off in the AM as the gap started to fill... then off to the races closing up over 11%

Trade summary:
Entry: 20.89
Partial exit. 21.53 (1/3 =.64 Remainder  $21.32  (2/3) + .43

This could have been a very good trade, instead I wind up with about a small gain.  So what went wrong?  I probably bought too high, which made me too fearful to hold as HYGS came in a bit.  I could have held the original stop but that was stretched due to the strength of the move I bought into.

Also weighing on my mind was that the earnings came in but revenues missed.  There was not aggressive buying so I thought the miss on revs might cause it to be punished. I had read the 10K and it looked like there was a big back log which should play out nicely second half the year.  Revs were down YOY because last  year there was a Q1 delay which caused revs to be booked in q2 2013.



Friday, July 25, 2014

New buy HYGS (and partial close)

HYGS  Got a great break out today.  Bought at 20.89.   I sold 1/3 my position off at 21.53.  Stop at days low on remaining -- $18.25.  1R. This was a powerful move on a thin stock so there is hopefully a lot more upside..

I'm on the highest margin I have been on all year. My account is also at an all time high.  That being said, I sold out a 1/3 of this position to  reduce my margin exposure as the market has been showing signs of weakness in its breadth and   A lot of my margin is devoted to some short positions to reduce the risk. But still, now is not the time to go all in.